From a wonderful reader:
Nancy, I thought you might want to see this. You folks at EFM have been saying this before, but it’s nice to see it in the MSM.
From the Wall Street Journal
The relevant part is:
The voters ranged in age from 23 to 67. All were white and Christian. All supported Mr. Bush in 2000 and 2004. Their responses — frequently in error about candidates’ positions or personal lives — indicated they haven’t really tuned in to the race, though the candidates have been running all year. By contrast, voters in the states with early contests — mainly Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina — show much more sophistication about the choices, reflecting the time and advertising money that the candidates have spent in those places. The voters in Virginia and other states are likely to have their opinions shaped strongly by the results in Iowa and elsewhere, given the fluidity of their impressions now.
That’s why Romney will win. The people who are informed (i.e. those in the early states) prefer him. As people tune in and learn about the candidates, he’ll come out ahead.