The EFM Feature

I don’t buy that Governor Romney is 22 points behind in Iowa. As Jonah Goldberg points out, Newsweek polls aren’t exactly the most trustworthy. But I do believe, as Rich Lowry says, that Governor Huckabee is ahead in the Hawkeye State. And I also believe that as a direct result, Mayor Giuliani and Senator Clinton are smiling today — even if his morning TV appearance wasn’t so fun.
Why? Because in order to be president, you don’t just need the right rhetoric and the right religion. You need a campaign that can win a national nomination fight — and defeat an extremely well-funded, well-organized, tireless, and pro-abortion Democrat in the general election.
As a social, fiscal, and national-security conservative, I don’t even grant that Governor Huckabee has the right rhetoric. His economic ideas range from the liberal to the silly, and he has had virtually nothing to say on the most critical issue of our time — fighting the War on Terror the way our brave soldiers (including Captain David French) deserve and our future demands.
But put that aside. The fact remains that the man has shown no ability to put together the kind of campaign that will allow him to be the GOP nominee, let alone (to use my evangelical in-laws’ favorite phrase, italicized to reflect the way they say it) Beat Hillary.
Point being, even if he wins Iowa, more libertarian New Hampshire — where he’s currently in fourth in the Real Clear Politics average — isn’t going to swallow Governor Quarantine, and there is no way he will have the time to assemble the money, staff, and organization to compete in Florida, a big state where Mayor Giuliani is strong, or on February 5 — when there are primaries in 20 states.
What will be the result of that? Simple: the nomination of Mayor Giuliani. Then, the first pro-choice Republican nominee since 1976 will go head-to-head with either Senator Clinton or Senator Obama — and conservative evangelicals will have to decide whether they want to work their hearts out for a pro-choice Republican, or confront the idea of an even more radically pro-abortion Democratic president, one possibly named Hillary Clinton.
And so, that’s why today is a good day to be pro-abortion. Because Governor Huckabee is making progress on his main goal — taking out Governor Romney — and if he succeeds, he will make certain that the next president is not him, but someone, Mr. and Mrs. Conservative Evangelical, whose views on abortion you absolutely loathe.

About Charles Mitchell

EFM's resident Yankee, Charles Mitchell, works in the non-profit arena in his native Pennsylvania. He and his wife, Charissa, live near the state capital of Harrisburg with their daughter, Adeline, and are members of a congregation of the Presbyterian Church in America.

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