One of the great things about EFM is the fact that we get very high quality reader mail. Here’s a great note from James, who shows that the gap is narrowing between Gov. Perry and Gov. Romney… And that Gov. Romney would do better against Obama:
Nancy, here is a new poll by Bloomberg with some interesting numbers. It puts Perry over Romney 26-22. What I found most interesting is the percentage of people who had very unfavorable views of candidates. Romney came in at 15% only 1% higher than the low of 14% for Huntsman and Cain (both of whom have 51% who don’t know). If you subtract out those who don’t know on candidates, than the percentage of very unfavorable looks like this:
% Very Unfavorable
% Mostly Unfavorable to Very Unfavorable (hard to imagine people voting for someone they view as at least mostly unfavorable)
If the “not sure” people break the same way as those who already know these candidates enough to form an opinion, and that assumption seems more likely than the opposite, than the only candidate with a chance of beating Obama is Romney.
To put this data a little differently, if, out of those who have an opinion, you subtract the unfavorables from the favorables, this is what you get:
Also Romney trails Obama by 5%, while Perry trails Obama by 9%.
Here is the link.